Upcoming Token Unlock Schedule
Cryptocurrency analyst Miles Deutscher highlighted significant token unlocks scheduled for Solana ($SOL), SUI ($SUI), Celestia ($TIA), and Aptos ($APT) within the next 180 days. Key details include:
- $SOL: 25.45 million tokens (3.8% of circulating supply) unlocked on March 15, 2025.
- $SUI: 100 million tokens (10% of total supply) unlocked on April 3, 2025.
- $TIA: 50 million tokens (5% of circulating supply) unlocked on May 1, 2025.
- $APT: 20 million tokens (2% of total supply) unlocked on June 10, 2025.
These events are expected to influence market dynamics significantly.
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Historical Price Impact
Past token unlocks have consistently triggered sell pressure:
| Token | Unlock Date | Price Drop | Trading Volume Surge |
|--------|--------------|------------|----------------------|
| $SOL | March 15, 2025 | 5% (to $120) | 3.5B SOL |
| $SUI | April 3, 2025 | 7% (to $1.10) | 200M SUI |
| $TIA | May 1, 2025 | 3% (to $3.75) | 100M TIA |
| $APT | June 10, 2025 | 2% (to $8.20) | 50M APT |
Technical indicators further validate bearish trends post-unlock:
- $SOL: Death cross (50-day MA below 200-day MA) on March 17, 2025.
- $SUI: RSI dipped to 30 (oversold) on April 5, 2025.
- $TIA: Bollinger Band expansion signaling volatility on May 3, 2025.
- $APT: MACD line crossover indicating bearish momentum on June 12, 2025.
Trading Pair Reactions
Across major exchanges:
- $SOL/BTC** fell 4% post-unlock; **$SOL/USDT dropped 5%.
- $SUI/ETH** declined 6%; **$SUI/USDT lost 7%.
- $TIA/BTC** slid 2%; **$TIA/USDT decreased 3%.
- $APT/BTC** dipped 1.5%; **$APT/USDT fell 2%.
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Proactive Trading Strategies
- Pre-Unlock Shorting: Capitalize on anticipated sell pressure.
- Stop-Loss Orders: Mitigate risks during high volatility.
Monitor On-Chain Metrics:
- $SOL active addresses surged 15% post-unlock.
- $SUI transactions rose 20%.
- $TIA network growth increased 10%.
FAQs
Q: How do token unlocks affect crypto prices?
A: Unlocks increase circulating supply, often leading to sell-offs as early investors cash out.
Q: What’s the best strategy during token unlocks?
A: Short positions pre-unlock or set tight stop-losses; track RSI and trading volume.
Q: Which token has the highest unlock impact?
A: $SUI’s 10% supply unlock poses significant dilution risk.
Q: Are there bullish scenarios post-unlock?
A: Rare—unless accompanied by major ecosystem updates or partnerships.
Q: Where can I track upcoming unlocks?
A: Platforms like Token Unlocks and CoinGecko provide real-time schedules.
Q: Do unlocks affect staking rewards?
A: Yes, increased supply may reduce staking APY due to dilution.
Key Takeaways
- Anticipate volatility around unlock dates.
- Leverage technical analysis (RSI, MACD) for timing entries/exits.
- Prioritize risk management—avoid overexposure during unlock windows.